aristottle wrote:I think you could see one of those unusual situations develop where CDR-S become very exspensive because there is such a small market for them, while the larger capacity DVDs sell much cheaper.
to illustrate my point, try shopping for A box of Floppies and see how exspensive they have become, compared to CDRs!!!
Well, we've already seen some small price increases, by a penny or two here and there, but I think it'll be a little longer before we see huge increases.
What I expect will happen is that as demand for CD-Rs decreases, we will see more and more small manufacturers of CD-Rs (crappy hong kong and chinese ones and some Taiwanese) will stop production completely, since their only way of turning a profit is mass volume sales. Companies with a little more business sense will stick around longer, so Ritek, Prodisc and MBIL will probably last out quite a while. I expect CMC and Taiyo Yuden would be the last ones to stop manufacturing CD-Rs, but I don't see that happening for a long LONG time.
Punch Cards -> Paper Tape -> Tape Drive -> 8" Floppy Diskette -> 5 1/4" Floppy Diskette -> 3 1/2" "Flippy" Diskette -> CD-R -> DVD±R -> BD-R
The Progression of Computer Media